Baron Focused Growth Fund | Q1 2024

Baron Focused Growth Fund® (the Fund) increased 1.68% (Institutional Shares) in the first quarter. The Fund underperformed the Russell 2500 Growth Index (the Benchmark), which increased 8.51%. During the quarter, the U.S. economy generated strong growth with continued job gains and strong employment. This economic growth combined with a slower-than-expected reduction of inflation led investors to price a smaller number of Federal Reserve (the Fed) interest rate cuts this year. Yields also increased significantly in the period. That led to losses in our Disruptive Growth investments whose valuations were negatively impacted by higher interest rates. Included in this category of investments were Tesla, Inc., FIGS, Inc., and Iridium Communications Inc. In the near term, we believe that inflation will likely remain at historic 3% to 4% annualized levels and interest rates will start approximating the rate of inflation. This has generally been the case since World War II. We believe that is a favorable environment for businesses that are growing significantly faster than the rate of inflation and the 7% nominal annualized growth rate of our economy.

The above stock price declines were partially offset by gains in our Financials investments, Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. and Arch Capital Group Ltd., that benefit from higher interest rates. Our Real/Irreplaceable Asset investments, which include Hyatt Hotels Corporation, Red Rock Resorts, Inc., and Choice Hotels International, Inc., also performed well in the quarter. Those businesses benefit from significant daily pricing power in an inflationary environment. They are also benefiting from consumers’ continued preference for experiences over goods.

The Fund has continued to generate strong returns with less than market risk. Over the trailing 3, 5, and 10 years, the Fund has captured 102%, 131%, and 111%, respectively, of the upside when the market increased. When markets declined, the Fund lost less with 88%, 95%, and 90% downside capture, respectively. The Fund’s Sharpe ratio, a measure of risk adjusted return, was also higher than the Benchmark’s for each of these periods.

We believe these strong returns with downside protection are due to our research-based investment process. Our research enables us to identify and understand businesses’ competitive advantages, differentiation, long-term growth prospects, and exceptional people; and it allows us to invest in these businesses for the long term. As a result, the Fund has outperformed its Benchmark for the 3-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year periods, as well as since its inception on May 31, 1996. Since its inception as a private partnership almost 28 years ago, the Fund has increased 13.29% annualized. This compares to an 8.28% annualized return for the Benchmark and a 9.70% annualized return for the S&P 500 Index.

The underperformance in the first quarter was due to our Disruptive Growth investments. These businesses represented 31.5% of the Fund’s net assets, they declined 10.8%, and they penalized our returns over 400bps in the quarter.

Tesla declined 29.3% in the quarter, detracting 346 bps from performance. Tesla designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles, related software and components, and solar and energy storage products. The stock detracted as the core automotive segment remained under pressure due to a continued complex macroeconomic environment, higher interest rates, factory shutdowns, and Tesla’s continued price reductions to invigorate demand, putting pressure on its near-term growth and margin profile. Nonetheless, Tesla continued to generate sufficient gross profit to support a robust product development plan that can propel the automotive segment higher over time. The refreshed Model 3 and Y also seem to be generating strong demand while improving unit-level economics. Lastly, Tesla should benefit from its eight-year $10 billion investment in data and computing that will allow AI to train cars to drive with autonomous technology. Dojo, an AI training computer; autobidder, an automated energy trading platform; humanoid, a human-like robot; and energy storage, we believe, also provide opportunity. We believe Tesla is well positioned for further growth given its strong balance sheet and substantial cash.

FIGS is the largest direct-to-consumer supplier of scrubs to the medical industry. Its shares underperformed in the first quarter; they declined 28.4% and hurt performance by 95 bps. This was due to customers reducing their frequency of purchases, as they are impacted by the inflationary environment and higher interest rates. However, the company continues to experience strong customer additions and reactivations. Continued growth in upselling customers into non-scrubs, greater international penetration, and increasing its customer base through new extended size offerings should contribute to growth. Non-scrubs continue to grow at a brisk pace and should be accretive to margins as this product line scales. FIGS is the largest native, direct-to-consumer supplier of high-quality, attractive, functional medical apparel. FIGS’ products improve the lives of underappreciated health care professionals. We continue to believe the company could double its revenue over the next four to five years and double again in the following four to five years while increasing its EBITDA growth even more substantially. The CEO has personally bought stock at levels much higher than where the stock currently trades giving us further confidence in the attractiveness of the stock’s current valuation.

Iridium is a mobile voice and data communications services vendor offering global coverage via satellite. Its shares fell during the first quarter by 36.2% and hurt the Fund’s performance by 83 bps. In November 2023, Qualcomm unexpectedly terminated an agreement with Iridium to enable direct-to-device workloads on Iridium’s network. The decision increased investors’ concerns in Iridium’s direct-to-device opportunity, a significant growth opportunity. In addition, Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) generated headwinds to Iridium’s maritime segment, raising competitive risk. Regardless, we retain conviction. Iridium remains a unique satellite operator, with low-earth orbital spectrum, global coverage, years of operational experience, relatively new satellite hardware, and hundreds of partners across verticals and geographies. We believe the direct-to-device opportunity still exists, though it will be with a partner other than Qualcomm. We continue to believe the company will return capital to shareholders over the coming years through its over 2% dividend yield, which is well covered, and increased share buybacks. Management expects to return $3 billion to shareholders between 2023 and 2030. Iridium has a $3.2 billion market capitalization. Combine this capital return with earnings that continue to grow at a mid- to high single-digit rate as it continues to grow its service revenues through new additions and price increases, and we believe there remains significant value in the stock at current levels.

The above declines were partially offset by gains in our Financials investments. Financial businesses represented 18.2% of the Fund compared to 8.4% for the Benchmark. These companies continued to perform well and benefited in the first quarter from investor expectations for the Fed to continue to hold rates higher for longer and delay initial rate cuts. This positively impacted their stock price performance. However, we believe these businesses can continue to grow in a declining rate environment. This is due to the fact they have strong recurring revenue, fee-oriented businesses with significant pricing power and high client retention rates.

Interactive Brokers, a global automated electronic broker operator, increased 34.8% in the quarter and helped performance by 96 bps. The company continues to take market share due to its strong automation and ability to operate in international markets where others do not. This is allowing the company to grow its number of new accounts, which has accelerated recently to over 20% per year. The company has industry-leading margins of over 70% generating robust cash flow. The company has significant cash on its balance sheet and is looking to deploy it towards acquisitions and continued growth. We continue to believe the company’s focus on the most sophisticated investors who trade a range of assets across different global markets and make use of tools such as leverage is a key differentiating factor. The vast array of markets it serves and strong growth from countries outside the U.S. where low-cost brokerage is not well penetrated are key competitive advantages for the company. This allows the company to offer its clients the lowest cost trading due to its high level of automation, while also offering highly competitive rates on margin loans and paying them attractive yields on their uninvested cash balances. More than 80% of Interactive Brokers’ clients are non-U.S. citizens, and more than 80% of their investments are in U.S. stocks. The company has little direct competition serving this clientele. These are all features that we believe set Interactive Brokers apart from its competition. Interactive Brokers continues to hire software and computer engineers with a focus on automating many of the processes that competitors rely on employees to perform. With its low-priced offering and leading range of capabilities, we believe that Interactive Brokers is well positioned to continue its rapid pace of account growth from just over 2 million clients today. The company’s focus on automation should enable it to continue to be a low-priced provider while earning best-in-class margins, which we believe should lead to double-digit revenue and earnings growth over the long run.

Our Real/Irreplaceable Assets increased 9.7% in the first quarter and contributed 230 bps to performance. These companies gained from inflation given the daily repricing of their services and consumers’ desire to spend more on experiences over goods in the current post-COVID environment.

Red Rock, a casino operator in the Las Vegas Locals market, increased 14.7% in the first quarter and helped performance by 56 bps. Shares increased after the company’s newly opened Durango casino generated results that were higher than Wall Street expectations, with minimal cannibalization at its other properties. The strong performance of the new casino helped boost EBITDA and free cash flow, which Red Rock is using to pay down debt. We believe the company is on track to reach its targeted three times leverage level by mid-2025, which should enable it to begin development of other casino projects. Red Rock currently has over 300 acres of gaming-entitled land to develop, and its margins remain above pre-pandemic levels, despite increasing wage costs, thanks to strong incremental margins on revenue generated from the new resort.

Hotel franchisor Choice increased 11.5% in the first quarter and helped performance by 38 bps. The stock rose after Choice decided to abandon its proposed acquisition of Wyndham Hotels. The company also indicated that it would increase its share repurchase program by 5 million shares, or about 10% of its outstanding shares. While we think the proposed deal to acquire Wyndham would have created value, we think Choice can still achieve strong growth independently through its revenue-intensive brand strategy and sustained gains in revenue per available room and development pipelines. Choice continues to generate strong cash flow and maintains gross leverage below its targeted range of between three and four times. Currently trading at a mid-single-digit free-cash-flow yield, Choice should still be able to achieve high single-digit growth in EBITDA, with most of this growth being returned to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.

Sources: FactSet PA, Baron Capital, and FTSE Russell. 
*Individual weights may not sum to displayed total due to rounding. 
**Represents the blended return of all share classes of the Fund.

Specialty insurer Arch Capital Group Ltd. contributed to performance after reporting strong financial results that exceeded Street expectations. In the most recent reported quarter, operating ROE was 24% and book value per share rose 44% as underwriting profitability remained excellent. Pricing trends in the P&C insurance market are favorable, and elevated interest rates are driving higher investment income. Insurance stocks broadly rebounded from weakness in the prior quarter as rates stabilized. We continue to own the stock due to Arch’s strong management team and our expectation of significant growth in earnings and book value.

Shares of global hotelier Hyatt Hotels Corporation increased in the quarter on continued progress towards its shift to a more asset-light business, with 85% of its revenue now from management and franchise fees. This progress, along with the sale of the Unlimited Vacation Club business within Apple Leisure Group, which had complicated the reporting of results, helped improve visibility. Strong growth in revenue per available room and a steady expansion of its share of developer pipelines should enable Hyatt to generate robust free cash flow and achieve low double-digit EBITDA growth. Hyatt’s strong, underleveraged balance sheet keeps it well positioned to increase dividends and share repurchases.

Tesla, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles, related software and components, and solar and energy storage products. Shares fell as the core automotive segment remained under pressure due to a complex macroeconomic environment, factory shutdowns, growing competitive risks in China, and Tesla’s price reductions throughout 2023. During the first quarter of 2024, production was negatively impacted by Red Sea maritime supply-chain interferences, sabotage at a Tesla factory power supply in Berlin, and the launch of the refreshed Model 3. We remain shareholders. Tesla has started delivery of its highly anticipated Cybertruck pickup, which features new technologies within the car and its manufacturing lines. Tesla also launched version 12 of its Full Self Driving product, which features material improvements and should enhance investor confidence in Tesla’s unique software and hardware capabilities. Lastly, we expect energy storage sales to continue to grow over the coming years.

FIGS, Inc. is a direct-to-consumer health care apparel company. Shares detracted during the quarter due to disappointing guidance for 2024. FIGS expects revenue to be pressured due to macroeconomic weakness impacting its core customer base as well as industry-specific issues impacting the health care space. We retain our long-term conviction. We believe that FIGS’ direct-to-consumer, higher-quality, and more innovative product offerings vs. those of competitors provide a durable competitive advantage that will allow it to gain market share. We also believe that FIGS has a long growth runway internationally and are encouraged by the possibility of brick-and-mortar retail stores to complement its e-commerce business.

Iridium Communications Inc. is a mobile voice and data communications services vendor offering global coverage via satellite. Shares fell during the quarter. In November 2023, Qualcomm unexpectedly terminated an agreement with Iridium to enable direct-to-device (D2D) workloads on Iridium’s network. The decision shook investors’ confidence in Iridium’s D2D opportunity. In addition, SpaceX generated limited headwinds to Iridium’s maritime segment, enhancing competitive risk. We retain conviction. Iridium remains a unique satellite asset and operator, with L-band spectrum, global coverage, years of operational experience, relatively new satellite hardware, and hundreds of partners across verticals and geographies. In addition, management announced a commitment of $3 billion in returns to shareholders between 2023 and 2030, representing a material portion of the current enterprise value. 

We remain steadfast in our commitment to long-term investing in competitively advantaged growth businesses. We believe these investments are an effective way to protect and increase the purchasing power of your savings. Wars, pandemics, financial panics, higher-than-normal inflation, and interest rate increases can cause significant market declines, but when these negative influences abate, interest rates stabilize and decline, stock prices can increase substantially. We believe this will happen again, although the timing remains uncertain.

As of March 31, 2024, we owned 30 investments. The Fund’s average portfolio turnover for the past three years was 22.8%. This means the Fund has an average holding period for its investments of over four years. This compares to the average mid-cap growth mutual fund that typically turns over its entire portfolio every 17 months. From a quality standpoint, the Fund’s investments have stronger sales growth; higher EBITDA, operating, and free-cash-flow margins; and stronger returns on invested capital than the Benchmark. We believe these metrics help limit risk in this focused portfolio and are why the portfolio has generated strong risk-adjusted returns.

While focused, the Fund is diversified by sector. The Fund’s weightings are significantly different than those of the Benchmark. For example, we are heavily weighted to Consumer Discretionary businesses with 39.9% of net assets in this sector versus 13.5% for the Benchmark. We have no exposure to Energy, Materials, or Utilities. We believe companies in these sectors can be cyclical, linked to commodity prices, and/or have very little if any competitive advantage. This compares to the Benchmark that had 8.8% exposure to these sectors. We also have lower exposure to Health Care stocks at 4.8% for the Fund versus 19.9% for the Benchmark. The performance of many stocks in the Health Care sector can change quickly due to exogenous events or binary outcomes (e.g., biotechnology and pharmaceuticals). As a result, we do not invest a large amount in these stocks in this focused portfolio. In Health Care, we invest in competitively advantaged companies that are leaders in their industries such as our positions in IDEXX Laboratories, Inc., the leading provider of diagnostics to the veterinary industry, BioNTech SE, the leader in mRNA drugs, and Illumina, Inc., the leader in DNA sequencing instruments and consumables. The Fund is further diversified by investments in businesses at different stages of growth and development. 

Disruptive Growth firms accounted for 31.5% of the Fund’s net assets. On current metrics, these businesses may appear expensive; however, we think they will continue to grow significantly and, if we are correct, they have the potential to generate exceptional returns over time. Examples of these companies include electric vehicle leader Tesla, Inc., commercial satellite and launch company Space Exploration Technologies Corp., and audio streaming service provider Spotify Technology S.A. These companies all have large underpenetrated addressable markets, are well financed with significant equity stakes by these founder-led companies, giving us further conviction in our investment. 

Core Growth investments, steady growers that continually invest in their businesses for growth and return excess free-cash-flow to shareholders, represented 24.2% of net assets. An example would be CoStar Group, Inc., a marketing and data analytics provider to the real estate industry. The company continues to add new services in commercial and residential real estate, which have grown its addressable market and enhanced services for its clients. This has improved client retention and cash flow. CoStar continues to invest its cash flow in its business to accelerate growth, which we believe should generate strong returns over time. 

Companies that own what we believe are Real/Irreplaceable Assets represented 24.2% of net assets. Vail Resorts, Inc., owner of the premier ski resort portfolio in the world, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, upscale lodging brand, and Red Rock Resorts, Inc., the largest player in the Las Vegas locals casino gaming market, are examples of companies we believe possess meaningful brand equity and barriers to entry that equate to pricing power. 

Financials investments accounted for 18.2% of the Fund’s net assets. These businesses generate strong recurring earnings through subscriptions and premiums that generate highly predictable earnings and cash flow. These businesses use cash flows to continue to invest in new products and services, while returning capital to shareholders through share buybacks and dividends. These companies include Arch Capital Group Ltd., FactSet Research Systems Inc., and MSCI Inc.  

As of March 31, 2024, the Fund’s top 10 holdings represented 55.3% of net assets. Most of these investments have been successful and were purchased when they were much smaller businesses. We believe they continue to offer significant appreciation potential, although we cannot guarantee that will be the case.

The top five positions in the portfolio, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., Tesla, Inc., Arch Capital Group Ltd., Hyatt Hotels Corporation, and Spotify Technology S.A., all have, in our view, significant competitive advantages due to irreplaceable assets, strong brand awareness, technologically superior industry expertise, or exclusive data that is integral to their operations. We think these businesses cannot be easily duplicated and have large market opportunities to penetrate further, which enhances their potential for superior earnings growth and returns over time. 

In the first quarter, we increased our position in Birkenstock Holding plc, a leading manufacturer and seller of footwear products, through its direct-to-consumer website and wholesale stores. The company continues to see strong global demand for its brand with revenues accelerating across all channels, regions, and products. The company is seeing more demand for its premium products, which is allowing it to take price and leading to higher margins and cash flow. As a result, the company is expanding its capacity, which has hurt its current margins. However, we believe this investment should lead to accelerated growth over time and be a strong return on capital investment. We believe the stock remains attractively valued, and, as a result, we have been adding to our position.

We believe the shares of many of our portfolio investments already reflect overly pessimistic earnings estimates for 2024. Investors obviously remember operating declines during the 2008/2009 Global Financial Crisis and are pricing in similar declines today. If we do not go into a deep recession this year, or if the slowdown and expected decline in earnings are not as bad as feared, we believe investors will see significant near-term upside in the portfolio. We continue to believe our stocks are cyclically depressed, not secularly challenged, and see further upside over the next 12 to 18 months. So far, most of our portfolio holdings have not experienced a slowdown in sales or earnings growth, and their outlooks remain strong. In addition, we believe that even if a downturn were to occur, our portfolio companies would still be operating above pre-pandemic levels. These businesses’ balance sheets have been strengthened since COVID-19, and we believe they remain well positioned to weather a downturn should one occur.

Thank you for investing with us in Baron Focused Growth Fund. We continue to work hard to justify your confidence and trust in our stewardship of your family’s hard-earned savings. We also continue to try to provide you with information we would like to have if our roles were reversed. This is so you can make an informed judgment about whether Baron Focused Growth Fund remains an appropriate investment for your family.

Respectfully,